
One of the most important skills that anyone involved in influencing policy needs to have is the ability to analyse and interpret changes in national policy. Whether it is examining bills and legislation, white papers, national guidance or consultation documents, being able to spot potential issues and, importantly, solutions, is an essential competence for anyone seeking to influence the policy agenda.
I was prompted to write this post having spent a few days recently trying to understand the implications of the Government’s energy price scheme.
Being able to understand what policy or decision makers want to achieve, and what they are thinking about, is a really important skill.
There are lots of academic papers and public policy theories that try to describe the policy analysis process – you simply need to run a quick Google search to find lots of those. While those are useful and helpful, in this post, I thought it would be helpful to think about it a little more practically. So here are my top five tips for policy analysis.
Tip 1: Think about the context
As a starting point, it’s important to consider the context, and what is being presented, as this will affect the approach that you might need to take. Are you being asked a question, or given an answer? For instance, is it a consultation where your views are being sought, or a policy statement or decision that has already been taken?
Tip 2: What is the policy trying to achieve, and will it work?
The next step is to work out what it is that the policy is intended to achieve. What problem are policy makers trying to fix? And will it deliver what it is that the policy maker intends? Are there any unforeseen consequences that might not have been properly considered? Your expert knowledge here is going to be particularly helpful, as you will probably know more about your stakeholders and their needs than the policy makers do.
Most ‘bad policy’ decisions are the result of not properly considering the unintended consequences – the Dangerous Dogs Act 1991 is probably the best example of that in practice. By adopting an approach based on breed and looks, rather than behaviour, it is widely criticised for failing to address the problem it was designed to fix which was to reduce the incidence of dog attacks.
Tip 3: Will it have a positive, negative or neutral impact? And will those impacts be fair?
You also need to consider whether the policy is likely to have a positive, negative or neutral impact. In other words, from your perspective, is this a good, bad or indifferent policy? And don’t forget that you’ll need to evidence your assessment, so also think about the mix of evidence that you will need to draw on to back up your judgment.
It’s also really important to think about equality as part of your analysis. In most cases, policy change goes through a process of ‘equality impact assessment’ to determine whether it might have a disproportionate unintended effect on equality, and to ensure compliance with the public sector equality duty. In reality, those assessments are not often particularly robust. It’s often an important gap to fill.
Tip 4: The financial impact
As big part of your analysis will probably centre on the cost effectiveness or financial implications of the policy change being proposed. Is it an efficient way of achieving the policy intentions? Are there alternative solutions available that might be more cost effective? And, of course, are there financial implications for the stakeholders that you are speaking for? A cost-benefit analysis is a very useful tool.
Tip 5: Can you change it?
How the policy, or policy proposal, is being presented will determine the answer to the question of whether it’s possible to change it if needed. A clause in a parliamentary bill (which will be subject to debate, amendment and parliamentary process) will be much easier to influence and change than, for example, a piece of statutory guidance from an arms-length body. This will also help determine the tactics that you might need to deploy to get any change that might be needed.
Alongside your analysis, it’s also worth thinking about what your stakeholders, beneficiaries, or local community might need to know about the change. This is important for two reasons. First and foremost, because people will need to know what the change is and how it will affect them. And secondly, because if change is needed, you can also think about how to mobilise your networks to push for that change. For example, mobilising people to write to their MP about a bill before Parliament. In this sense, policy analysis is, itself, a core component of the policy influencing process.
Policy analysis is an essential tool for anyone wanting to influencing government policy. It’s vital to be able to critically appraise policy proposals, to identify any unintended consequences, and ultimately to help ensure that the policy has a positive, rather than negative or disruptive, effect.
What is your experience of policy analysis? What would you add to these tips? Let me know your thoughts in the comments section below.
If you or your organisation are looking to do more policy influencing work, and would like some pro bono advice, I’d be happy to have a chat. Just drop me a line via the ‘Contact’ link above, or email me at hello@thepolicycoach.co.uk






